Our closings since September 8: 1640 N Jimmie Foxx Path (Kirsten Elling listing, $679,500), 1683 N Shadowview Path (Russell Barber buyer, $345,000). Our pipeline went from 2 sides to 4: 1469 N Whisperwood Drive (Luci Suarez listing, $825,000); 286 W Redsox Path (Lori Flagg buyer, $597,000); 1328 W Diamond Shore Loop (Rachel Mysliborski buyer, $525,000); 1821 N Gibson Point (Lori Flagg buyer, $369,900).
Real Trust's five weeks: 4 closed sides and 2 new listings (George Sleeman, William Decker). Their active count went from 11 to 10; ours went from 7 to 6. 6 new listings came on in Terra Vista since September 8 and 0 of them are ours.
We hold 6 of 38 active listings (15.8%). 5 of the 6 are past 100 cumulative days (963 W Skyview Crossing Drive at 400, 1349 W Quentin Lane at 246, 929 W Silver Meadow Loop at 132, 1096 W Diamond Shore Loop at 131, 653 W Doerr Path at 114) — those are price conversations, not marketing conversations. The Pricing tab shows what a 200-day listing gives back when it finally sells.
Background for the 25% conversation from August 11 is still at the full 25% report.
| Address | List agent | Price | Original | CDOM |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 877 N Hunt Club Drive | David Collins | $649,900 | $719,900 | 934 |
| 963 W Skyview Crossing Drive | Luci Suarez | $299,900 | $324,900 | 400 |
| 1500 W Alton Bay Place | Angela Rose | $995,900 | $1,049,000 | 350 |
| 1650 W Laurel Glen Path | Thomas Dishman | $410,000 | $450,000 | 328 |
| 1349 N Hunt Club Drive | George Sleeman | $498,000 | $498,000 | 304 |
| 1349 W Quentin Lane | Luci Suarez | $624,500 | $650,000 | 246 |
| 1861 N Eagle Chase Drive | Paula Fuhst | $675,000 | $675,000 | 231 |
| 2210 N Peakview Loop | Dawn Theroux | $1,308,625 | $1,450,000 | 179 |
| 2371 N Peakview Loop | Paula Fuhst | $949,000 | $990,000 | 165 |
| 983 W Skyview Landings Drive | George Sleeman | $407,000 | $409,000 | 159 |
| 584 W Johnny Pesky Court | James McCoy Jr | $1,399,000 | $1,399,000 | 158 |
| 1969 N Yawkey Point | Ruth Squires | $949,000 | $999,900 | 152 |
| 842 W Silver Meadow Loop | Amy Meek | $350,000 | $350,000 | 152 |
| 929 W Silver Meadow Loop | Luci Suarez | $345,000 | $345,000 | 132 |
| 1096 W Diamond Shore Loop | Russell Barber | $425,000 | $438,500 | 131 |
| 1038 W Rollingwood Court | Maria Fleming | $510,000 | $549,900 | 123 |
| 1884 N Ravenwood Point | Monica Saldarriaga | $679,900 | $679,900 | 115 |
| 653 W Doerr Path | Kirsten Elling | $324,900 | $324,900 | 114 |
| 984 W Silver Meadow Loop | Vanesa Douglas | $279,000 | $279,000 | 92 |
| 907 N Hunt Club Drive | Karis Geistfeld | $660,000 | $686,000 | 75 |
| 1575 N Eagle Ridge Path | Paula Fuhst | $1,200,000 | $1,200,000 | 74 |
| 255 W Redsox Path | David Cook | $599,000 | $569,000 | 72 |
| 1800 N Rose Hue Path | Russell Barber | $649,900 | $649,900 | 68 |
| 2257 N Hickory Glen Point | Amy Messer | $899,000 | $899,000 | 68 |
| 1677 W Laurel Glen Path | George Sleeman | $420,000 | $420,000 | 58 |
| 836 W Silver Meadow Loop | William Decker | $266,000 | $266,000 | 46 |
| 1041 W Beagle Run Loop | Susan Pardo PA | $694,900 | $694,900 | 45 |
| 1720 W Laurel Glen Path | Susan Pardo PA | $349,900 | $359,000 | 45 |
| 1220 W Skyview Landings Drive | Karis Geistfeld | $795,000 | $795,000 | 43 |
| 1910 N Eagle Chase Drive | Cynthia Strait | $550,000 | $580,000 | 39 |
| 1118 N Hunt Club Drive | Karis Geistfeld | $929,000 | $929,000 | 38 |
| 779 W Mays Path | George Sleeman | $569,000 | $569,000 | 37 |
| 2320 N Hickory Glen Point | George Sleeman | $990,000 | $990,000 | 22 |
| 512 W Doerr Path | Paula Fuhst | $450,000 | $450,000 | 21 |
| 1165 W Pointer Loop | Karis Geistfeld | $949,000 | $949,000 | 20 |
| 1783 N Musial Point | Katie Hensley | $499,900 | $499,900 | 15 |
| 1626 N Lake Marie Terrace | William Decker | $699,900 | $699,900 | 11 |
| 2253 N Peakview Loop | Dawn Theroux | $979,000 | $979,000 | 0 |
Gold rows are ours · pink rows are Real Trust · CDOM flag: green <30, amber 30–99, red 100+. Changes in the tiles are against the September 8 pull.
| Firm | List | Buyer | Sides | Side volume | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Others | 2 | 5 | 7 | $3,478,900 | 38.9% |
| Real Trust Realty | 4 | 1 | 5 | $3,499,000 | 27.8% |
| TVHT / BHHS FSP | 1 | 3 | 4 | $2,316,900 | 22.2% |
| RE/MAX Foxfire | 2 | 0 | 2 | $1,149,000 | 11.1% |
| Address | List | Buyer | Price | Side |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1469 N Whisperwood Drive | Luci Suarez | Shelli Ferrell Harty | $825,000 | list |
| 286 W Redsox Path | Roni Sayer | Lori Flagg | $597,000 | buy |
| 1328 W Diamond Shore Loop | Paula Fuhst | Rachel Mysliborski | $525,000 | buy |
| 1821 N Gibson Point | Becky Norman | Lori Flagg | $369,900 | buy |
| Address | List | Buyer | Price | Side |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1283 N Rockwood Point | Susan Banden | Susan Banden | $899,000 | list+buy ⚑ |
| 1426 W Crossview Way | Maria Fleming | Pamela Pareja | $615,000 | list |
| 286 W Redsox Path | Roni Sayer | Lori Flagg | $597,000 | list |
| 1901 N Gibson Point | Susan Banden | Diana Dodd | $489,000 | list |
286 W Redsox Path appears on both lists — their listing, Lori's buyer, under contract since August 3.
| Firm | List | Buyer | Sides | Side volume | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Others | 40 | 60 | 100 | $50,435,710 | 54.9% |
| TVHT / BHHS FSP | 11 | 13 | 24 | $10,837,800 | 13.2% |
| Real Trust Realty | 19 | 5 | 24 | $10,502,900 | 13.2% |
| RE/MAX Foxfire | 9 | 3 | 12 | $5,735,000 | 6.6% |
| BHHS South | 4 | 4 | 8 | $3,989,860 | 4.4% |
| RE/MAX Champions | 3 | 5 | 8 | $4,428,000 | 4.4% |
| Sellstate | 5 | 1 | 6 | $3,982,750 | 3.3% |
| TOTAL | 91 | 91 | 182 | $89,912,020 | 100.0% |
| Address | List | Buyer | Price | Side |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1083 W Pointer Loop | Rachel Mysliborski | Deanna Hance | $899,000 | list |
| 1462 N Ridge Meadow Path | Rachel Mysliborski | Rachel Mysliborski | $775,000 | list+buy ⚑ |
| 1640 N Jimmie Foxx Path | Kirsten Elling | Melissa Roberts | $679,500 | list |
| 2132 N Buttonwood Loop | William "Bill" Decker | Luci Suarez | $575,000 | buy |
| 107 W Mickey Mantle Path | Luci Suarez | Kirsten Elling | $500,000 | list+buy ⚑ |
| 1542 N Ridge Meadow Path | Kirsten Elling | SuncoastTampa Member | $474,000 | list |
| 997 W Skyview Landings Drive | Susan Banden | Russell Barber | $470,000 | buy |
| 1095 W Skyview Landings Drive | Carl Manucci | Luci Suarez | $460,000 | buy |
| 361 W Greenberg Court | Carl Manucci | Kirsten Elling | $425,000 | buy |
| 1685 N Bogey Point | Katie Spires | Lori Flagg | $412,500 | buy |
| 1556 N McCovey Point | Susan Pardo PA | Lori Flagg | $400,000 | buy |
| 418 W Doerr Path | Kenneth Brant II | Kirsten Elling | $375,000 | buy |
| 1675 N Shadowview Path | Naya Austin | Jill Miller | $367,900 | list |
| 1683 N Shadowview Path | Robert Ash | Russell Barber | $345,000 | buy |
| 335 W Doerr Path | Carl Ramm | Luci Suarez | $335,000 | buy |
| 2025 N Gibson Point | Luci Suarez | Luci Suarez | $315,000 | list+buy ⚑ |
| 165 W Doerr Path | Luci Suarez | Lake Sumter Member | $295,000 | list |
| 1299 W Skyview Crossing Drive | Luci Suarez | Jonathan Kennedy | $295,000 | list |
| 1056 W Beagle Run Loop | Carl Manucci | Rachel Mysliborski | $295,000 | buy |
| 855 W Skyview Crossing Drive | Luci Suarez | Carol Case | $289,900 | list |
| 1312 W Skyview Crossing Drive | Kirsten Elling | Barbara Whitehead | $265,000 | list |
Green rows are both-sides captures — those count as two sides and twice the volume credit.
| Firm | List | Buyer | Sides | Side volume | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Others | 42 | 65 | 107 | $53,914,610 | 53.5% |
| Real Trust Realty | 23 | 6 | 29 | $14,001,900 | 14.5% |
| TVHT / BHHS FSP | 12 | 16 | 28 | $13,154,700 | 14.0% |
| RE/MAX Foxfire | 11 | 3 | 14 | $6,884,000 | 7.0% |
| BHHS South | 4 | 4 | 8 | $3,989,860 | 4.0% |
| RE/MAX Champions | 3 | 5 | 8 | $4,428,000 | 4.0% |
| Sellstate | 5 | 1 | 6 | $3,982,750 | 3.0% |
| TOTAL | 100 | 100 | 200 | $100,355,820 | 100.0% |
Every side in Terra Vista belongs to one of three groups. This is the number that explains the market better than any firm row: the brain drain controls 39.5% of Terra Vista sides — people who learned this community inside our building or the developer's.
| Group | List | Buyer | Sides | Side volume | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Group 1 — Us (BHHS FSP / TVHT) | 12 | 16 | 28 | $13,154,700 | 14.0% |
| Group 2 — Citrus Hills alumni (brain drain) | 54 | 25 | 79 | $40,034,710 | 39.5% |
| Group 3 — True outsiders (influence drain) | 34 | 59 | 93 | $47,166,410 | 46.5% |
| TOTAL | 100 | 100 | 200 | $100,355,820 | 100.0% |
Alumni firms tracked as whole offices: BHHS South (Spring Hill), RE/MAX Champions, RE/MAX Foxfire, Real Trust Realty, Sellstate. Individual alumni are classified as alumni regardless of office code.
Our buyer-side game is the best in the community and it cannot carry us alone. Listings are the scoreboard, the inventory, and the referral engine — and we are taking 12 of 100 of them.
| # | Agent | Firm | Group | Sides | Side volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paula Fuhst | RE/MAX Foxfire | Alumni | 13 | $6,359,000 |
| 2 | Luci Suarez | TVHT / BHHS FSP | Us | 10 | $4,204,900 |
| 3 | Carl Manucci | Real Trust Realty | Alumni | 8 | $3,531,900 |
| 4 | Krystel Ellingham | Others | Outsider | 7 | $5,260,000 |
| 5 | Susan Banden | Real Trust Realty | Alumni | 7 | $4,066,000 |
| 6 | Kimberly Roberts | BHHS South | Alumni | 7 | $3,665,860 |
| 7 | Ocala Marion Member | Others | Outsider | 6 | $3,049,000 |
| 8 | Kirsten Elling | TVHT / BHHS FSP | Us | 6 | $2,718,500 |
| 9 | Rachel Mysliborski | TVHT / BHHS FSP | Us | 5 | $3,269,000 |
| 10 | Daniel Ford | Others | Alumni | 5 | $2,879,300 |
| 11 | Kendra Ford | Others | Alumni | 5 | $2,388,900 |
| 12 | Karis Geistfeld | Sellstate | Alumni | 4 | $2,638,750 |
| 13 | SuncoastTampa Member | Others | Outsider | 4 | $2,559,000 |
| 14 | Maria Fleming | Real Trust Realty | Alumni | 4 | $2,155,000 |
| 15 | Mazin Shehayeb | RE/MAX Champions | Alumni | 4 | $1,827,000 |
| Time on market | Sales | Avg cut from original | Median cut | Avg sale price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sold in 0–29 days | 20 | 2.95% | 2.37% | $548,718 |
| 30–59 days | 16 | 4.37% | 3.42% | $514,906 |
| 60–99 days | 8 | 6.94% | 5.35% | $538,062 |
| 100–199 days | 21 | 10.08% | 9.98% | $491,162 |
| 200+ days | 26 | 14.63% | 13.22% | $427,856 |
There is no exception to this table. Every step slower on the market costs more off the price. A home that sold inside 45 days gave up 3.30% of its original number. A home that took 150 days or more gave up 12.79%. The slow ones did not get a better price for waiting — they got a worse one, and waited to get it.
The listings that failed cut their price less than the listings that sold. They did not fail because the market rejected a fair number — they never got to a fair number. They sat 230 days on average asking 12.8% more per square foot than buyers were actually paying, and 13 of the 53 never moved the price a single dollar.
| Address | First asked | Gave up at | What it really took | Gap | % | Now |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2257 N Hickory Glen Point | $1,299,900 | $925,000 | $899,000 | $400,900 | 30.8% | active |
| 1500 W Alton Bay Place | $1,399,000 | $1,199,000 | $995,900 | $403,100 | 28.8% | active |
| 1543 N Killebrew Point | $548,888 | $524,444 | $415,360 | $133,528 | 24.3% | sold |
| 1999 N Buckmeadow Loop | $1,348,000 | $1,249,000 | $1,035,000 | $313,000 | 23.2% | sold |
| 1821 N Gibson Point | $475,000 | $425,000 | $369,900 | $105,100 | 22.1% | pending |
| 1312 W Skyview Crossing Drive | $337,500 | $310,000 | $265,000 | $72,500 | 21.5% | sold |
| 1763 W Twilight Lane | $630,000 | $549,000 | $510,000 | $120,000 | 19.0% | sold |
| 1027 W Skyview Crossing Drive | $319,900 | $314,900 | $260,000 | $59,900 | 18.7% | sold |
| 915 N Hunt Club Drive | $670,000 | $548,900 | $548,900 | $121,100 | 18.1% | sold |
| 1416 N Ridge Meadow Path | $1,200,000 | $1,150,000 | $1,025,000 | $175,000 | 14.6% | sold |
| 263 W Doerr Path | $399,900 | $380,000 | $342,500 | $57,400 | 14.4% | sold |
| 107 W Mickey Mantle Path | $579,000 | $524,900 | $500,000 | $79,000 | 13.6% | sold |
| 2030 N Bush Hill Loop | $599,500 | $559,900 | $525,000 | $74,500 | 12.4% | sold |
| 1750 W Westford Path | $725,000 | $725,000 | $640,000 | $85,000 | 11.7% | sold |
| 1416 N Eagle Ridge Path | $849,000 | $829,000 | $780,000 | $69,000 | 8.1% | sold |
| 1349 N Hunt Club Drive | $540,000 | $498,000 | $498,000 | $42,000 | 7.8% | active |
The average seller who started too high gave back $144,439.25 of asking price and burned 291 days to find out what the house was worth. The market did not change its mind over those days. The price found the market. "What it really took" is the closing price where it sold and the current asking price where it is still live, so the live ones can still get worse.
No. 24 of the 38 listings (63.2%) have never taken a single reduction, and 18 are already past 100 days. 7 are both. The market is asking a median of $234.23 per square foot and paying $208.38.
| Address | Agent | Price | CDOM | Cut so far | $/sqft |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 963 W Skyview Crossing Drive | Luci Suarez | $299,900 | 400 | 7.7% | $172.36 |
| 1349 W Quentin Lane | Luci Suarez | $624,500 | 246 | 3.9% | $311.78 |
| 929 W Silver Meadow Loop | Luci Suarez | $345,000 | 132 | 0.0% | $196.36 |
| 1096 W Diamond Shore Loop | Russell Barber | $425,000 | 131 | 3.1% | $246.52 |
| 653 W Doerr Path | Kirsten Elling | $324,900 | 114 | 0.0% | $151.40 |
| 1800 N Rose Hue Path | Russell Barber | $649,900 | 68 | 0.0% | $325.60 |
The red rows are the conversation. Every house in the failure table above started exactly where a never-reduced 180-day listing sits today.
| Address | List agent | Last price | Original | CDOM | St |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1500 W Alton Bay Place | Luci Suarez | $1,199,000 | $1,399,000 | 211 | X |
| 1999 N Buckmeadow Loop | William Decker | $1,249,000 | $1,348,000 | 152 | W |
| 2308 N Peakview Loop | Shields Gay V | $1,199,999 | $1,325,000 | 274 | X |
| 2257 N Hickory Glen Point | Amy Messer | $925,000 | $1,299,900 | 475 | X |
| 1416 N Ridge Meadow Path | Krystel Ellingham | $1,150,000 | $1,200,000 | 118 | W |
| 2180 N Buckmeadow Loop | Kim DeVane | $895,000 | $935,000 | 19 | X |
| 785 N Hunt Club Drive | Kirsten Elling | $759,900 | $915,000 | 536 | X |
| 161 W Redsox Path | Cheyenne Watson | $839,900 | $849,900 | 186 | X |
| 1362 N Whisperwood Drive | Carl Manucci | $849,900 | $849,900 | 125 | X |
| 1416 N Eagle Ridge Path | Luci Suarez | $829,000 | $849,000 | 228 | X |
| 886 N Hunt Club Drive | Paula Fuhst | $749,000 | $775,000 | 179 | W |
| 1323 N WHISPERWOOD Drive | Susan Banden | $718,000 | $729,000 | 238 | X |
| 1428 N Ridge Meadow Path | Kirsten Elling | $725,000 | $725,000 | 239 | X |
| 1750 W Westford Path | Rhonda Gailey | $725,000 | $725,000 | 9 | W |
| 1036 W Lake Valley Court | Robert Schroeder III | $689,000 | $699,000 | 106 | W |
| 1861 N Eagle Chase Drive | Robert Ash | $675,000 | $675,000 | 115 | X |
| 1139 N Hunt Club Drive | Lisa VanDeBoe | $675,000 | $675,000 | 4 | X |
| 1355 W Greenmeadow Path | Kerin Ivory | $675,000 | $675,000 | 177 | W |
| 915 N Hunt Club Drive | Kendra Ford | $548,900 | $670,000 | 465 | X |
| 760 N Hunt Club Drive | Andrea Cincotta | $640,000 | $665,900 | 334 | W |
| 1763 W Twilight Lane | Paula Fuhst | $549,000 | $630,000 | 76 | W |
| 1147 W Pointe Vista Path | Marcia Kasper | $499,000 | $605,000 | 301 | X |
| 2030 N Bush Hill Loop | Karis K Geistfeld | $559,900 | $599,500 | 198 | X |
| 107 W Mickey Mantle Path | Luci Suarez | $524,900 | $579,000 | 354 | X |
| 1543 N Killebrew Point | Roni Sayer | $524,444 | $548,888 | 344 | X |
| 1349 N Hunt Club Drive | George L'Heureux | $498,000 | $540,000 | 168 | W |
| 1802 N Musial Point | Michele Murphy | $493,000 | $524,900 | 336 | X |
| 467 W Mickey Mantle Path | William Decker | $494,900 | $510,000 | 16 | X |
| 1771 W Laurel Glen Path | Susan Elliott | $485,000 | $500,000 | 67 | W |
| 84 W Doerr Path | Steven Koleno | $489,900 | $489,900 | 23 | W |
St: X = expired · W = withdrawn. Showing the 30 highest original list prices. Gold rows are ours. This is also the best listing-lead list in the report.